MIDTERMS – AT 5:15 P.M. ET:   On Tuesday we'll be at the one-week mark.  The campaigning will be intense.  We must always remember that something unexpected can happen just a few days before an election that can have an effect on the vote.

New polling suggests that what we've seen for week continues – tight races all over the country, little sign of a blue wave.  However, virtually all important analysts believe the Democrats will take the House.  The only issue seems to be the number of seats they'll hold.  Again, a surprise can occur.

In the Senate races there is some potential good news in Indiana and Missouri, where our candidates appear to be edging out the incumbent Democrats.

In Florida we have a shot, as the great Rick Scott is battling incumbent Dem Bill Nelson in a tied race. 

While Ted Cruz is six or seven points ahead in Texas, we cannot put that race away.  Beto O'Rourke has won some last-minute endorsements from major newspapers, and has vast amounts to spend.  Ted must get his voters out.

Very nervous about Arizona.  We assumed our Martha McSally was ahead by a few points, but Dem certified nutbag Kyrsten Sinema is three points ahead in a new CBS poll.  Arizona may be our heartbreak.  The state of John McCain has been moving steadily left, under the weight of massive immigration.

Possible upsets, though long shots:  New Jersey, where corrupt Dem Senator Bob Menendez is being effectively challenged by GOP candidate Bob Hugin.  Caution:  We often see potential revolts against Democrats in New Jersey, but they rarely happen.  The most delightful long shot is Michigan, where GOP African-American candidate John James is within six points of "safe" incumbent Debbie Stabenow.  Again, a tough one, but I'd love to see a miracle happen in Michigan.

October 28, 2018